Income Tax Take Down For Two Months, But Budget Director Still Positive

Feb 13, 2019
Originally published on February 12, 2019 3:18 pm

State income tax collections have been down for the last two months, leading some to wonder whether Ohio will end the fiscal year with a surplus – or in the red.

Personal income tax collections were off by nearly six percent in December, and more than 7 percent below estimates last month. Budget director Kimberly Murnieks says she thinks the 2017 federal tax law change could be the reason.

“That cap [on] the amount of state and local taxes that can be deducted on your federal taxes – that really eliminated the incentives to pay your entire liability at that time.”

While the fiscal-year-to-date personal income tax take is more than 2 percent below forecasts, Murnieks says the sales tax is performing well and Medicaid caseloads are down. So she still expects the state will have a surplus at the close of the fiscal year in June.

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