So, what does it mean when the professional tea leaf readers move a congressional race from a Likely Republican status to a Leans Republican status?
Well, we are about to find out.
That's exactly what Sabato's Crystal Ball, one of the nation's leading trackers of races at the state, congressional and presidential levels, did this week with Ohio's 1st Congressional District, which has been held by Republican Steve Chabot in all but two of the past 25 years.